Digjam Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

DIGJAMLMTD   68.79  0.07  0.10%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Digjam Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 69.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 157.42. Digjam Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Digjam's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Digjam's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Digjam fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Digjam's Cash is quite stable compared to the past year. Non Current Assets Total is expected to rise to about 1.1 B this year, although the value of Other Current Liabilities will most likely fall to about 94.8 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Digjam Limited is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Digjam 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Digjam Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 69.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.71, mean absolute percentage error of 12.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 157.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Digjam Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Digjam's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Digjam Stock Forecast Pattern

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Digjam Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Digjam's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Digjam's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.96 and 72.46, respectively. We have considered Digjam's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
68.79
69.71
Expected Value
72.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Digjam stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Digjam stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1193
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.9023
MADMean absolute deviation2.7142
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0334
SAESum of the absolute errors157.425
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Digjam. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Digjam Limited and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Digjam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Digjam Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.3268.0770.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.0664.8175.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Digjam. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Digjam's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Digjam's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Digjam Limited.

Other Forecasting Options for Digjam

For every potential investor in Digjam, whether a beginner or expert, Digjam's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Digjam Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Digjam. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Digjam's price trends.

Digjam Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Digjam stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Digjam could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Digjam by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Digjam Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Digjam's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Digjam's current price.

Digjam Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Digjam stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Digjam shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Digjam stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Digjam Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Digjam Risk Indicators

The analysis of Digjam's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Digjam's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting digjam stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Digjam Stock

Digjam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Digjam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Digjam with respect to the benefits of owning Digjam security.