Keurig Dr Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

DP5 Stock  EUR 30.87  0.10  0.32%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Keurig Dr Pepper on the next trading day is expected to be 31.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.39. Keurig Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Keurig Dr's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Keurig Dr is based on an artificially constructed time series of Keurig Dr daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Keurig Dr 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Keurig Dr Pepper on the next trading day is expected to be 31.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Keurig Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Keurig Dr's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Keurig Dr Stock Forecast Pattern

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Keurig Dr Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Keurig Dr's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Keurig Dr's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.93 and 32.76, respectively. We have considered Keurig Dr's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.87
31.34
Expected Value
32.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Keurig Dr stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Keurig Dr stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.3271
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1519
MADMean absolute deviation0.7243
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0233
SAESum of the absolute errors38.3875
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Keurig Dr Pepper 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Keurig Dr

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keurig Dr Pepper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.4530.8732.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.8531.2732.69
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Keurig Dr

For every potential investor in Keurig, whether a beginner or expert, Keurig Dr's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Keurig Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Keurig. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Keurig Dr's price trends.

Keurig Dr Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Keurig Dr stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Keurig Dr could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Keurig Dr by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Keurig Dr Pepper Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Keurig Dr's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Keurig Dr's current price.

Keurig Dr Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Keurig Dr stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Keurig Dr shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Keurig Dr stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Keurig Dr Pepper entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Keurig Dr Risk Indicators

The analysis of Keurig Dr's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Keurig Dr's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting keurig stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Keurig Stock

When determining whether Keurig Dr Pepper is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Keurig Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Keurig Dr Pepper Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Keurig Dr Pepper Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Keurig Dr to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Keurig Dr's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Keurig Dr is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Keurig Dr's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.