Dowlais Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| DWLAF Stock | 0.73 0.00 0.00% |
Dowlais |
Dowlais Group Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dowlais Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dowlais Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dowlais Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dowlais Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
Dowlais Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dowlais Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dowlais Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.36, respectively. We have considered Dowlais Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dowlais Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dowlais Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0024 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0078 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0111 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.46 |
Predictive Modules for Dowlais Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dowlais Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dowlais Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dowlais Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dowlais Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dowlais Group plc.Other Forecasting Options for Dowlais Group
For every potential investor in Dowlais, whether a beginner or expert, Dowlais Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dowlais Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dowlais. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dowlais Group's price trends.Dowlais Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dowlais Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dowlais Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dowlais Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dowlais Group plc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dowlais Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dowlais Group's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dowlais Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dowlais Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dowlais Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dowlais Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Dowlais Group plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Dowlais Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dowlais Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dowlais Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dowlais pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Variance | 6.91 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.