Equifax Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

EFX Stock  EUR 258.00  4.00  1.57%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Equifax on the next trading day is expected to be 252.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 293.13. Equifax Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Equifax's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Equifax is based on an artificially constructed time series of Equifax daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Equifax 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Equifax on the next trading day is expected to be 252.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.43, mean absolute percentage error of 42.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 293.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Equifax Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Equifax's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Equifax Stock Forecast Pattern

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Equifax Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Equifax's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Equifax's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 251.12 and 254.38, respectively. We have considered Equifax's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
258.00
251.12
Downside
252.75
Expected Value
254.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Equifax stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Equifax stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.9883
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.6117
MADMean absolute deviation5.4284
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.022
SAESum of the absolute errors293.1325
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Equifax 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Equifax

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equifax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
256.38258.00259.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
211.15212.77283.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Equifax

For every potential investor in Equifax, whether a beginner or expert, Equifax's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Equifax Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Equifax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Equifax's price trends.

Equifax Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Equifax stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Equifax could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Equifax by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Equifax Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Equifax's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Equifax's current price.

Equifax Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Equifax stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Equifax shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Equifax stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Equifax entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Equifax Risk Indicators

The analysis of Equifax's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Equifax's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting equifax stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Equifax Stock

When determining whether Equifax offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Equifax's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Equifax Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Equifax Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Equifax to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Equifax Stock please use our How to Invest in Equifax guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Equifax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Equifax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Equifax's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.