Eche Izquierdo Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

EISA Stock  CLP 165.00  2.80  1.73%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Eche Izquierdo on the next trading day is expected to be 159.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 224.81. Eche Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Eche Izquierdo is based on a synthetically constructed Eche Izquierdodaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Eche Izquierdo 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Eche Izquierdo on the next trading day is expected to be 159.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.35, mean absolute percentage error of 52.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 224.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eche Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eche Izquierdo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eche Izquierdo Stock Forecast Pattern

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Eche Izquierdo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eche Izquierdo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eche Izquierdo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 158.08 and 159.96, respectively. We have considered Eche Izquierdo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
165.00
158.08
Downside
159.02
Expected Value
159.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eche Izquierdo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eche Izquierdo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria87.1464
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.9366
MADMean absolute deviation5.3526
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0333
SAESum of the absolute errors224.809
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Eche Izquierdo 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Eche Izquierdo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eche Izquierdo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
164.06165.00165.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
143.59144.53181.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Eche Izquierdo

For every potential investor in Eche, whether a beginner or expert, Eche Izquierdo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eche Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eche. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eche Izquierdo's price trends.

Eche Izquierdo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eche Izquierdo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eche Izquierdo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eche Izquierdo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eche Izquierdo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eche Izquierdo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eche Izquierdo's current price.

Eche Izquierdo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eche Izquierdo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eche Izquierdo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eche Izquierdo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eche Izquierdo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eche Izquierdo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eche Izquierdo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eche Izquierdo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eche stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Eche Izquierdo

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Eche Izquierdo position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Eche Izquierdo will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Eche Stock

  0.72ANDINAA Embotelladora AndinaPairCorr

Moving against Eche Stock

  0.81AFPCAPITAL AFP Capital SAPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Eche Izquierdo could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Eche Izquierdo when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Eche Izquierdo - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Eche Izquierdo to buy it.
The correlation of Eche Izquierdo is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Eche Izquierdo moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Eche Izquierdo moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Eche Izquierdo can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Eche Stock

Eche Izquierdo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eche Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eche with respect to the benefits of owning Eche Izquierdo security.