Element Global Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ELGL Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Element Global on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Element Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Element Global's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Element Global's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Element Global fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Element Global's Cash is quite stable compared to the past year. Total Liabilities is expected to rise to about 681.3 K this year, although the value of Inventory will most likely fall to about 992.6 K.

Element Global Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Element Global's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
10.9 M
Current Value
11.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
4.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Element Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Element Global value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Element Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Element Global on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Element Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Element Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Element Global Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Element GlobalElement Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Element Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Element Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Element Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Element Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Element Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Element Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Element Global. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Element Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Element Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Element Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Element Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Element Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Element Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Element Global.

Other Forecasting Options for Element Global

For every potential investor in Element, whether a beginner or expert, Element Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Element Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Element. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Element Global's price trends.

Element Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Element Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Element Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Element Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Element Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Element Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Element Global's current price.

Element Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Element Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Element Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Element Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Element Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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When determining whether Element Global is a strong investment it is important to analyze Element Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Element Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Element Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Element Global to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Element Stock please use our How to buy in Element Stock guide.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Industrial Conglomerates space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Element Global. If investors know Element will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Element Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.004
Revenue Per Share
0.016
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.94)
Return On Assets
0.2474
Return On Equity
0.4989
The market value of Element Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Element that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Element Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Element Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Element Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Element Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Element Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Element Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Element Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.