Energy Recovery Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ERII Stock  USD 15.33  0.13  0.86%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Energy Recovery on the next trading day is expected to be 15.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.71. Energy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Energy Recovery's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Energy Recovery's Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. . The Energy Recovery's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 29 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to under 55 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Energy Recovery is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Energy Recovery 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Energy Recovery on the next trading day is expected to be 15.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Energy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Energy Recovery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Energy Recovery Stock Forecast Pattern

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Energy Recovery Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Energy Recovery's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Energy Recovery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.82 and 18.91, respectively. We have considered Energy Recovery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.33
15.37
Expected Value
18.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Energy Recovery stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Energy Recovery stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.5255
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.016
MADMean absolute deviation0.5914
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0347
SAESum of the absolute errors33.7075
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Energy Recovery. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Energy Recovery and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Energy Recovery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Energy Recovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7415.3118.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.8019.2322.80
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.3030.0033.30
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.140.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Energy Recovery

For every potential investor in Energy, whether a beginner or expert, Energy Recovery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Energy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Energy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Energy Recovery's price trends.

Energy Recovery Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Energy Recovery stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Energy Recovery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Energy Recovery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Energy Recovery Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Energy Recovery's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Energy Recovery's current price.

Energy Recovery Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Energy Recovery stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Energy Recovery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Energy Recovery stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Energy Recovery entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Energy Recovery Risk Indicators

The analysis of Energy Recovery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Energy Recovery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting energy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Energy Recovery offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Energy Recovery's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Energy Recovery Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Energy Recovery Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Energy Recovery to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Energy Stock please use our How to Invest in Energy Recovery guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Energy Recovery. If investors know Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Energy Recovery listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
Earnings Share
0.33
Revenue Per Share
2.36
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.042
Return On Assets
0.0379
The market value of Energy Recovery is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Energy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Energy Recovery's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Energy Recovery's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Energy Recovery's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Energy Recovery's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Energy Recovery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Energy Recovery is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Energy Recovery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.