Legal General Etf Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ETLZ Etf  EUR 107.68  0.74  0.68%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Legal General UCITS on the next trading day is expected to be 107.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.08. Legal Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Legal General's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Legal General - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Legal General prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Legal General price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Legal General UCITS.

Legal General Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Legal General UCITS on the next trading day is expected to be 107.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 2.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Legal Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Legal General's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Legal General Etf Forecast Pattern

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Legal General Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Legal General's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Legal General's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 106.30 and 109.22, respectively. We have considered Legal General's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
107.68
106.30
Downside
107.76
Expected Value
109.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Legal General etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Legal General etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1811
MADMean absolute deviation0.9674
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0094
SAESum of the absolute errors57.0767
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Legal General observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Legal General UCITS observations.

Predictive Modules for Legal General

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Legal General UCITS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
106.22107.68109.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.91115.89117.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
101.96107.64113.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Legal General. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Legal General's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Legal General's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Legal General UCITS.

Other Forecasting Options for Legal General

For every potential investor in Legal, whether a beginner or expert, Legal General's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Legal Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Legal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Legal General's price trends.

Legal General Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Legal General etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Legal General could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Legal General by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Legal General UCITS Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Legal General's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Legal General's current price.

Legal General Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Legal General etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Legal General shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Legal General etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Legal General UCITS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Legal General Risk Indicators

The analysis of Legal General's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Legal General's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting legal etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Legal Etf

Legal General financial ratios help investors to determine whether Legal Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Legal with respect to the benefits of owning Legal General security.