Franklin Biotechnology Mutual Fund Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

FRBRX Fund  USD 147.44  1.08  0.74%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Franklin Biotechnology Discovery on the next trading day is expected to be 147.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 169.63. Franklin Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Franklin Biotechnology is based on an artificially constructed time series of Franklin Biotechnology daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Franklin Biotechnology 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Franklin Biotechnology Discovery on the next trading day is expected to be 147.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.14, mean absolute percentage error of 18.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 169.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin Biotechnology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Franklin Biotechnology Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Franklin Biotechnology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Franklin Biotechnology's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin Biotechnology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 146.38 and 148.94, respectively. We have considered Franklin Biotechnology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
147.44
146.38
Downside
147.66
Expected Value
148.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin Biotechnology mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin Biotechnology mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.1679
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.8243
MADMean absolute deviation3.1413
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0207
SAESum of the absolute errors169.6325
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Franklin Biotechnology Discovery 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Franklin Biotechnology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Biotechnology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
146.35147.63148.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
132.70148.89150.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
142.48153.78165.07
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Biotechnology

For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin Biotechnology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin Biotechnology's price trends.

Franklin Biotechnology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin Biotechnology mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin Biotechnology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin Biotechnology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Franklin Biotechnology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Franklin Biotechnology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Franklin Biotechnology's current price.

Franklin Biotechnology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin Biotechnology mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin Biotechnology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin Biotechnology mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin Biotechnology Discovery entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Franklin Biotechnology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Franklin Biotechnology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin Biotechnology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Biotechnology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Biotechnology security.
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