1st Federal Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| FSGB Stock | USD 9.60 0.00 0.00% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 1st Federal Savings on the next trading day is expected to be 9.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. 1st Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 1st Federal stock prices and determine the direction of 1st Federal Savings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of 1st Federal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
1st |
1st Federal Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 1st Federal Savings on the next trading day is expected to be 9.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 1st Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 1st Federal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
1st Federal Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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1st Federal Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting 1st Federal's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 1st Federal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.60 and 9.60, respectively. We have considered 1st Federal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 1st Federal pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 1st Federal pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for 1st Federal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1st Federal Savings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for 1st Federal
For every potential investor in 1st, whether a beginner or expert, 1st Federal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 1st Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 1st. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 1st Federal's price trends.1st Federal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 1st Federal pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 1st Federal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 1st Federal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
1st Federal Savings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 1st Federal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 1st Federal's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
1st Federal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 1st Federal pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 1st Federal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 1st Federal pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify 1st Federal Savings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 1st Pink Sheet
1st Federal financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1st Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1st with respect to the benefits of owning 1st Federal security.