Fortescue Metals OTC Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

FSUGY Stock  USD 24.54  0.93  3.65%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fortescue Metals Group on the next trading day is expected to be 24.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.28. Fortescue OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Fortescue Metals Group is based on a synthetically constructed Fortescue Metalsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Fortescue Metals 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fortescue Metals Group on the next trading day is expected to be 24.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06, mean absolute percentage error of 1.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fortescue OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fortescue Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fortescue Metals OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Fortescue Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fortescue Metals' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fortescue Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.26 and 26.96, respectively. We have considered Fortescue Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.54
24.61
Expected Value
26.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fortescue Metals otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fortescue Metals otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.7754
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4674
MADMean absolute deviation1.0557
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.043
SAESum of the absolute errors43.283
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Fortescue Metals 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Fortescue Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortescue Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.1924.5426.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.7125.0527.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.6224.5426.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fortescue Metals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fortescue Metals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fortescue Metals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fortescue Metals.

Other Forecasting Options for Fortescue Metals

For every potential investor in Fortescue, whether a beginner or expert, Fortescue Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fortescue OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fortescue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fortescue Metals' price trends.

Fortescue Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fortescue Metals otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fortescue Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fortescue Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fortescue Metals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fortescue Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fortescue Metals' current price.

Fortescue Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fortescue Metals otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fortescue Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fortescue Metals otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fortescue Metals Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fortescue Metals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fortescue Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fortescue Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fortescue otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Fortescue OTC Stock Analysis

When running Fortescue Metals' price analysis, check to measure Fortescue Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortescue Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Fortescue Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortescue Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortescue Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortescue Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.