KIM GROWTH Etf Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

FUEKIV30   8,940  10.00  0.11%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of KIM GROWTH VN30 on the next trading day is expected to be 8,932 with a mean absolute deviation of 85.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,988. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast KIM GROWTH's etf prices and determine the direction of KIM GROWTH VN30's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for KIM GROWTH VN30 is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

KIM GROWTH 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of KIM GROWTH VN30 on the next trading day is expected to be 8,932 with a mean absolute deviation of 85.99, mean absolute percentage error of 10,505, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,988.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KIM Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KIM GROWTH's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KIM GROWTH Etf Forecast Pattern

KIM GROWTH Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KIM GROWTH's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KIM GROWTH's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8,932 and 8,933, respectively. We have considered KIM GROWTH's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8,940
8,932
Expected Value
8,933
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KIM GROWTH etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KIM GROWTH etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.8564
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -12.1121
MADMean absolute deviation85.9914
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0097
SAESum of the absolute errors4987.5
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of KIM GROWTH. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for KIM GROWTH VN30 and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for KIM GROWTH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KIM GROWTH VN30. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for KIM GROWTH

For every potential investor in KIM, whether a beginner or expert, KIM GROWTH's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KIM Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KIM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KIM GROWTH's price trends.

KIM GROWTH Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KIM GROWTH etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KIM GROWTH could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KIM GROWTH by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KIM GROWTH VN30 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KIM GROWTH's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KIM GROWTH's current price.

KIM GROWTH Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KIM GROWTH etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KIM GROWTH shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KIM GROWTH etf market strength indicators, traders can identify KIM GROWTH VN30 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KIM GROWTH Risk Indicators

The analysis of KIM GROWTH's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KIM GROWTH's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kim etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with KIM GROWTH

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if KIM GROWTH position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in KIM GROWTH will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to KIM GROWTH could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace KIM GROWTH when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back KIM GROWTH - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling KIM GROWTH VN30 to buy it.
The correlation of KIM GROWTH is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as KIM GROWTH moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if KIM GROWTH VN30 moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for KIM GROWTH can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching