BLUELINX HLDGS Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

FZG1 Stock  EUR 102.00  4.00  3.77%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BLUELINX HLDGS DL 01 on the next trading day is expected to be 101.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.21. BLUELINX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BLUELINX HLDGS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for BLUELINX HLDGS - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When BLUELINX HLDGS prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in BLUELINX HLDGS price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of BLUELINX HLDGS DL.

BLUELINX HLDGS Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BLUELINX HLDGS DL 01 on the next trading day is expected to be 101.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.26, mean absolute percentage error of 10.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BLUELINX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BLUELINX HLDGS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BLUELINX HLDGS Stock Forecast Pattern

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BLUELINX HLDGS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BLUELINX HLDGS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BLUELINX HLDGS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 98.11 and 104.23, respectively. We have considered BLUELINX HLDGS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
102.00
101.17
Expected Value
104.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BLUELINX HLDGS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BLUELINX HLDGS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4973
MADMean absolute deviation2.2578
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0211
SAESum of the absolute errors133.2104
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past BLUELINX HLDGS observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older BLUELINX HLDGS DL 01 observations.

Predictive Modules for BLUELINX HLDGS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BLUELINX HLDGS DL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.94102.00105.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.80105.25108.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
103.11115.65128.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BLUELINX HLDGS

For every potential investor in BLUELINX, whether a beginner or expert, BLUELINX HLDGS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BLUELINX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BLUELINX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BLUELINX HLDGS's price trends.

BLUELINX HLDGS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BLUELINX HLDGS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BLUELINX HLDGS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BLUELINX HLDGS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BLUELINX HLDGS DL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BLUELINX HLDGS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BLUELINX HLDGS's current price.

BLUELINX HLDGS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BLUELINX HLDGS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BLUELINX HLDGS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BLUELINX HLDGS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BLUELINX HLDGS DL 01 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BLUELINX HLDGS Risk Indicators

The analysis of BLUELINX HLDGS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BLUELINX HLDGS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bluelinx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in BLUELINX Stock

BLUELINX HLDGS financial ratios help investors to determine whether BLUELINX Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BLUELINX with respect to the benefits of owning BLUELINX HLDGS security.