Global Entertainment Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GBHL Stock  USD 0.0001  0.0002  66.67%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global Entertainment Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000667 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0004. Global Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Global Entertainment simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Global Entertainment Holdings are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Global Entertainment prices get older.

Global Entertainment Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global Entertainment Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000667, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0004.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Global Entertainment Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Global Entertainment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Global Entertainment's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Global Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 26.27, respectively. We have considered Global Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
26.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global Entertainment pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global Entertainment pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria95.837
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0444
SAESum of the absolute errors4.0E-4
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Global Entertainment Holdings forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Global Entertainment observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Global Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00006726.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00009626.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Global Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Global Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Global Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Global Entertainment.

Other Forecasting Options for Global Entertainment

For every potential investor in Global, whether a beginner or expert, Global Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Global Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Global. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Global Entertainment's price trends.

Global Entertainment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global Entertainment pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Global Entertainment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Global Entertainment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Global Entertainment's current price.

Global Entertainment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global Entertainment pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global Entertainment pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Global Entertainment Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Global Entertainment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Global Entertainment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Global Entertainment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting global pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Global Pink Sheet

Global Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Entertainment security.