Goodfood Market Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

GDDFF Stock  USD 0.34  0.01  3.03%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Goodfood Market Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.56. Goodfood Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Goodfood Market's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Goodfood Market is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Goodfood Market Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Goodfood Market Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Goodfood Market Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Goodfood Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Goodfood Market's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Goodfood Market Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Goodfood Market Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Goodfood Market's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Goodfood Market's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.00, respectively. We have considered Goodfood Market's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.34
0.29
Expected Value
6.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goodfood Market pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goodfood Market pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.4779
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0092
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0362
SAESum of the absolute errors0.5589
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Goodfood Market Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Goodfood Market. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Goodfood Market

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goodfood Market Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.005.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.005.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Goodfood Market. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Goodfood Market's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Goodfood Market's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Goodfood Market Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Goodfood Market

For every potential investor in Goodfood, whether a beginner or expert, Goodfood Market's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goodfood Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goodfood. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goodfood Market's price trends.

Goodfood Market Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Goodfood Market pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Goodfood Market could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goodfood Market by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Goodfood Market Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Goodfood Market's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Goodfood Market's current price.

Goodfood Market Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Goodfood Market pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Goodfood Market shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Goodfood Market pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Goodfood Market Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Goodfood Market Risk Indicators

The analysis of Goodfood Market's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Goodfood Market's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goodfood pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Goodfood Pink Sheet

Goodfood Market financial ratios help investors to determine whether Goodfood Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Goodfood with respect to the benefits of owning Goodfood Market security.