Gores Holdings Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

GHIXWDelisted Stock  USD 0.01  0.0001  2.04%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gores Holdings IX on the next trading day is expected to be -0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.10. Gores Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Gores Holdings - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Gores Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Gores Holdings price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Gores Holdings IX.

Gores Holdings Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gores Holdings IX on the next trading day is expected to be -0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0008, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gores Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gores Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gores Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Gores Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gores Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gores Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00005 and 55.73, respectively. We have considered Gores Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.00005
Downside
-0.0003
Expected Value
55.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gores Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gores Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0034
MADMean absolute deviation0.0187
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors1.1038
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Gores Holdings observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Gores Holdings IX observations.

Predictive Modules for Gores Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gores Holdings IX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gores Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00050.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00050.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.010.050.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gores Holdings

For every potential investor in Gores, whether a beginner or expert, Gores Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gores Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gores. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gores Holdings' price trends.

Gores Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gores Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gores Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gores Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gores Holdings IX Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gores Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gores Holdings' current price.

Gores Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gores Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gores Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gores Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gores Holdings IX entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gores Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gores Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gores Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gores stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gores Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Gores Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Gores Holdings IX check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Gores Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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