SEIKOH GIKEN Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GIK Stock  EUR 12.75  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SEIKOH GIKEN Co on the next trading day is expected to be 12.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. SEIKOH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for SEIKOH GIKEN is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SEIKOH GIKEN Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SEIKOH GIKEN Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SEIKOH GIKEN Co on the next trading day is expected to be 12.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SEIKOH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SEIKOH GIKEN's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SEIKOH GIKEN Stock Forecast Pattern

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SEIKOH GIKEN Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SEIKOH GIKEN's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SEIKOH GIKEN's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.75 and 12.75, respectively. We have considered SEIKOH GIKEN's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.75
12.75
Expected Value
12.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SEIKOH GIKEN stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SEIKOH GIKEN stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SEIKOH GIKEN Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SEIKOH GIKEN. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SEIKOH GIKEN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SEIKOH GIKEN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7512.7512.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7512.7512.75
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SEIKOH GIKEN

For every potential investor in SEIKOH, whether a beginner or expert, SEIKOH GIKEN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SEIKOH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SEIKOH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SEIKOH GIKEN's price trends.

SEIKOH GIKEN Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SEIKOH GIKEN stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SEIKOH GIKEN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SEIKOH GIKEN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SEIKOH GIKEN Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SEIKOH GIKEN's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SEIKOH GIKEN's current price.

SEIKOH GIKEN Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SEIKOH GIKEN stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SEIKOH GIKEN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SEIKOH GIKEN stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SEIKOH GIKEN Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for SEIKOH Stock Analysis

When running SEIKOH GIKEN's price analysis, check to measure SEIKOH GIKEN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SEIKOH GIKEN is operating at the current time. Most of SEIKOH GIKEN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SEIKOH GIKEN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SEIKOH GIKEN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SEIKOH GIKEN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.