Mydestination 2045 Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GMFZX Fund  USD 12.61  0.08  0.64%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mydestination 2045 Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 12.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.14. MYDESTINATION Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Mydestination 2045 simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Mydestination 2045 Fund are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Mydestination 2045 prices get older.

Mydestination 2045 Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mydestination 2045 Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 12.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MYDESTINATION Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mydestination 2045's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mydestination 2045 Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Mydestination 2045 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mydestination 2045's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mydestination 2045's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.04 and 13.18, respectively. We have considered Mydestination 2045's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.61
12.61
Expected Value
13.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mydestination 2045 mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mydestination 2045 mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.8981
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0113
MADMean absolute deviation0.0523
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0042
SAESum of the absolute errors3.14
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Mydestination 2045 Fund forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Mydestination 2045 observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Mydestination 2045

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mydestination 2045. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0412.6113.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9512.5213.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.4112.5012.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mydestination 2045. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mydestination 2045's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mydestination 2045's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mydestination 2045.

Other Forecasting Options for Mydestination 2045

For every potential investor in MYDESTINATION, whether a beginner or expert, Mydestination 2045's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MYDESTINATION Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MYDESTINATION. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mydestination 2045's price trends.

Mydestination 2045 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mydestination 2045 mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mydestination 2045 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mydestination 2045 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mydestination 2045 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mydestination 2045's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mydestination 2045's current price.

Mydestination 2045 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mydestination 2045 mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mydestination 2045 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mydestination 2045 mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Mydestination 2045 Fund entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mydestination 2045 Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mydestination 2045's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mydestination 2045's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mydestination mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in MYDESTINATION Mutual Fund

Mydestination 2045 financial ratios help investors to determine whether MYDESTINATION Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MYDESTINATION with respect to the benefits of owning Mydestination 2045 security.
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