General Shopping Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

GSHP3 Stock  BRL 6.51  0.08  1.21%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of General Shopping e on the next trading day is expected to be 6.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.98. General Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for General Shopping e is based on a synthetically constructed General Shoppingdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

General Shopping 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of General Shopping e on the next trading day is expected to be 6.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 0.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict General Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that General Shopping's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

General Shopping Stock Forecast Pattern

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General Shopping Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting General Shopping's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. General Shopping's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.38 and 9.47, respectively. We have considered General Shopping's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.51
6.92
Expected Value
9.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of General Shopping stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent General Shopping stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.9403
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7799
MADMean absolute deviation0.7799
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1029
SAESum of the absolute errors31.9765
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. General Shopping e 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for General Shopping

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Shopping e. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.966.519.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.766.318.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as General Shopping. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against General Shopping's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, General Shopping's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in General Shopping e.

Other Forecasting Options for General Shopping

For every potential investor in General, whether a beginner or expert, General Shopping's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. General Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in General. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying General Shopping's price trends.

General Shopping Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with General Shopping stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of General Shopping could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing General Shopping by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

General Shopping e Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of General Shopping's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of General Shopping's current price.

General Shopping Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how General Shopping stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading General Shopping shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying General Shopping stock market strength indicators, traders can identify General Shopping e entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

General Shopping Risk Indicators

The analysis of General Shopping's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in General Shopping's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting general stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for General Stock Analysis

When running General Shopping's price analysis, check to measure General Shopping's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Shopping is operating at the current time. Most of General Shopping's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Shopping's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Shopping's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Shopping to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.