GTS Internasional Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GTSI Stock   33.00  1.00  3.13%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GTS Internasional Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 33.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.00. GTS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
GTS Internasional simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for GTS Internasional Tbk are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as GTS Internasional Tbk prices get older.

GTS Internasional Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GTS Internasional Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 33.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73, mean absolute percentage error of 1.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GTS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GTS Internasional's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GTS Internasional Stock Forecast Pattern

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GTS Internasional Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GTS Internasional's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GTS Internasional's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.05 and 35.95, respectively. We have considered GTS Internasional's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.00
33.00
Expected Value
35.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GTS Internasional stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GTS Internasional stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3679
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7333
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0209
SAESum of the absolute errors44.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting GTS Internasional Tbk forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent GTS Internasional observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for GTS Internasional

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GTS Internasional Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.0533.0035.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.0328.9836.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.3032.8034.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GTS Internasional

For every potential investor in GTS, whether a beginner or expert, GTS Internasional's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GTS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GTS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GTS Internasional's price trends.

GTS Internasional Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GTS Internasional stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GTS Internasional could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GTS Internasional by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GTS Internasional Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GTS Internasional's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GTS Internasional's current price.

GTS Internasional Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GTS Internasional stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GTS Internasional shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GTS Internasional stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GTS Internasional Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GTS Internasional Risk Indicators

The analysis of GTS Internasional's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GTS Internasional's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gts stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in GTS Stock

GTS Internasional financial ratios help investors to determine whether GTS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GTS with respect to the benefits of owning GTS Internasional security.