HEICO Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| HEI-A Stock | USD 211.13 0.77 0.37% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HEICO on the next trading day is expected to be 210.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.95. HEICO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast HEICO stock prices and determine the direction of HEICO's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HEICO's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
HEICO |
HEICO Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HEICO on the next trading day is expected to be 210.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37, mean absolute percentage error of 8.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HEICO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HEICO's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
HEICO Stock Forecast Pattern
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HEICO Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting HEICO's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HEICO's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 209.11 and 211.74, respectively. We have considered HEICO's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HEICO stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HEICO stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3951 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.372 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0117 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 139.9471 |
Predictive Modules for HEICO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HEICO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for HEICO
For every potential investor in HEICO, whether a beginner or expert, HEICO's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HEICO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HEICO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HEICO's price trends.View HEICO Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
HEICO Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HEICO's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HEICO's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
HEICO Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HEICO stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HEICO shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HEICO stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HEICO entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
HEICO Risk Indicators
The analysis of HEICO's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HEICO's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting heico stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Variance | 1.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether HEICO offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of HEICO's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Heico Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Heico Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HEICO to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade HEICO Stock refer to our How to Trade HEICO Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.