Hillcrest Energy OTC Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

HLRTF Stock  USD 0.09  0.01  11.72%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hillcrest Energy Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.44. Hillcrest OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hillcrest Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Hillcrest Energy Technologies is based on a synthetically constructed Hillcrest Energydaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Hillcrest Energy 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hillcrest Energy Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hillcrest OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hillcrest Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hillcrest Energy OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hillcrest Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hillcrest Energy's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hillcrest Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 7.08, respectively. We have considered Hillcrest Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.09
0.0009
Downside
0.12
Expected Value
7.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hillcrest Energy otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hillcrest Energy otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria73.0142
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0098
MADMean absolute deviation0.0107
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0985
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4383
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Hillcrest Energy Tec 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Hillcrest Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hillcrest Energy Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hillcrest Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.087.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.077.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.010.080.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hillcrest Energy

For every potential investor in Hillcrest, whether a beginner or expert, Hillcrest Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hillcrest OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hillcrest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hillcrest Energy's price trends.

Hillcrest Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hillcrest Energy otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hillcrest Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hillcrest Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hillcrest Energy Tec Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hillcrest Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hillcrest Energy's current price.

Hillcrest Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hillcrest Energy otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hillcrest Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hillcrest Energy otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hillcrest Energy Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hillcrest Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hillcrest Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hillcrest Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hillcrest otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Hillcrest OTC Stock

Hillcrest Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hillcrest OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hillcrest with respect to the benefits of owning Hillcrest Energy security.