HempAmericana Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HempAmericana on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000075 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000175 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001. HempAmericana Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for HempAmericana is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

HempAmericana 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HempAmericana on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000075 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000175, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HempAmericana Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HempAmericana's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HempAmericana Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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HempAmericana Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HempAmericana's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HempAmericana's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 12.60, respectively. We have considered HempAmericana's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.000075
Expected Value
12.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HempAmericana pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HempAmericana pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria88.2953
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0E-4
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of HempAmericana. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for HempAmericana and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for HempAmericana

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HempAmericana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0012.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0012.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.0000930.0000930.000093
Details

Other Forecasting Options for HempAmericana

For every potential investor in HempAmericana, whether a beginner or expert, HempAmericana's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HempAmericana Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HempAmericana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HempAmericana's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

HempAmericana Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HempAmericana's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HempAmericana's current price.

Pair Trading with HempAmericana

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if HempAmericana position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in HempAmericana will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to HempAmericana could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace HempAmericana when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back HempAmericana - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling HempAmericana to buy it.
The correlation of HempAmericana is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as HempAmericana moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if HempAmericana moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for HempAmericana can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for HempAmericana Pink Sheet Analysis

When running HempAmericana's price analysis, check to measure HempAmericana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HempAmericana is operating at the current time. Most of HempAmericana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HempAmericana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HempAmericana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HempAmericana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.