Harel Sal Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

HRL-F50 Etf   5,912  7.00  0.12%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Harel Sal SP on the next trading day is expected to be 5,922 with a mean absolute deviation of 30.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,781. Harel Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Harel Sal stock prices and determine the direction of Harel Sal SP's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Harel Sal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Harel Sal works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Harel Sal Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Harel Sal SP on the next trading day is expected to be 5,922 with a mean absolute deviation of 30.18, mean absolute percentage error of 1,884, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,781.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Harel Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Harel Sal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Harel Sal Etf Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Sep 2Sep 11Sep 23Oct 7Oct 21Nov 4Nov 13Nov 25Dec 4Dec 155,4005,5005,6005,7005,8005,900
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Harel Sal SP Harel Sal SP forecast

Harel Sal Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Harel Sal's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Harel Sal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5,921 and 5,922, respectively. We have considered Harel Sal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5,912
5,922
Expected Value
5,922
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Harel Sal etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Harel Sal etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 6.8373
MADMean absolute deviation30.1789
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0054
SAESum of the absolute errors1780.5532
When Harel Sal SP prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Harel Sal SP trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Harel Sal observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Harel Sal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harel Sal SP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,9115,9125,913
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,8405,8416,503
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
5,5975,8036,008
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Harel Sal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Harel Sal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Harel Sal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Harel Sal SP.

Other Forecasting Options for Harel Sal

For every potential investor in Harel, whether a beginner or expert, Harel Sal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Harel Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Harel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Harel Sal's price trends.

Harel Sal Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Harel Sal etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Harel Sal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Harel Sal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Harel Sal SP Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Harel Sal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Harel Sal's current price.

Harel Sal Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Harel Sal etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Harel Sal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Harel Sal etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Harel Sal SP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Harel Sal Risk Indicators

The analysis of Harel Sal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Harel Sal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting harel etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Harel Etf

Harel Sal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harel Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harel with respect to the benefits of owning Harel Sal security.