Hannover Rck Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

HVRRF Stock  USD 263.05  6.86  2.54%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hannover Rck SE on the next trading day is expected to be 263.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.39. Hannover Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hannover Rck's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Hannover Rck works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Hannover Rck Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hannover Rck SE on the next trading day is expected to be 263.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 22.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hannover Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hannover Rck's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hannover Rck Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Hannover Rck Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hannover Rck's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hannover Rck's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 261.12 and 264.98, respectively. We have considered Hannover Rck's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
263.05
261.12
Downside
263.05
Expected Value
264.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hannover Rck pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hannover Rck pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.5992
MADMean absolute deviation1.1253
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0043
SAESum of the absolute errors66.39
When Hannover Rck SE prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Hannover Rck SE trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Hannover Rck observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Hannover Rck

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hannover Rck SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
261.12263.05264.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
254.00255.93289.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hannover Rck

For every potential investor in Hannover, whether a beginner or expert, Hannover Rck's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hannover Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hannover. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hannover Rck's price trends.

Hannover Rck Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hannover Rck pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hannover Rck could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hannover Rck by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hannover Rck SE Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hannover Rck's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hannover Rck's current price.

Hannover Rck Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hannover Rck pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hannover Rck shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hannover Rck pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hannover Rck SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hannover Rck Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hannover Rck's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hannover Rck's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hannover pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Hannover Pink Sheet

Hannover Rck financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hannover Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hannover with respect to the benefits of owning Hannover Rck security.