IFabric Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IFA Stock | CAD 1.05 0.04 3.67% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of iFabric Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.45. IFabric Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although IFabric Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of IFabric Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of IFabric Corp fundamentals over time.
IFabric |
IFabric Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of iFabric Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IFabric Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IFabric Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IFabric Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IFabric Corp | IFabric Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
IFabric Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IFabric Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IFabric Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.14, respectively. We have considered IFabric Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IFabric Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IFabric Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.1854 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0238 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.021 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.4516 |
Predictive Modules for IFabric Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iFabric Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for IFabric Corp
For every potential investor in IFabric, whether a beginner or expert, IFabric Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IFabric Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IFabric. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IFabric Corp's price trends.IFabric Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IFabric Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IFabric Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IFabric Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
iFabric Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IFabric Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IFabric Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IFabric Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IFabric Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IFabric Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IFabric Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify iFabric Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.05 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.05 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
IFabric Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of IFabric Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IFabric Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ifabric stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.04 | |||
| Variance | 9.22 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with IFabric Corp
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if IFabric Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in IFabric Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against IFabric Stock
| 0.42 | META | Meta Platforms CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | AAPL | Apple Inc CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | QNC | Quantum Numbers | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | MSFT | Microsoft Corp CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | AVGO | Broadcom | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to IFabric Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace IFabric Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back IFabric Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling iFabric Corp to buy it.
The correlation of IFabric Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as IFabric Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if iFabric Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for IFabric Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in IFabric Stock
IFabric Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether IFabric Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IFabric with respect to the benefits of owning IFabric Corp security.