International Flavors Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IFF Stock | USD 90.82 0.11 0.12% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of International Flavors Fragrances on the next trading day is expected to be 96.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.17. International Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of International Flavors' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
International |
International Flavors Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the International Flavors' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 671 M | Current Value 567 M | Quarterly Volatility 462.9 M |
International Flavors Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of International Flavors Fragrances on the next trading day is expected to be 96.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30, mean absolute percentage error of 3.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict International Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that International Flavors' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
International Flavors Stock Forecast Pattern
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International Flavors Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting International Flavors' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. International Flavors' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 95.13 and 98.81, respectively. We have considered International Flavors' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of International Flavors stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent International Flavors stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.2459 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2978 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0134 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 79.1676 |
Predictive Modules for International Flavors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Flavors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for International Flavors
For every potential investor in International, whether a beginner or expert, International Flavors' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. International Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in International. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying International Flavors' price trends.International Flavors Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with International Flavors stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of International Flavors could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Flavors by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
International Flavors Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of International Flavors' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of International Flavors' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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International Flavors Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how International Flavors stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading International Flavors shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying International Flavors stock market strength indicators, traders can identify International Flavors Fragrances entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
International Flavors Risk Indicators
The analysis of International Flavors' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in International Flavors' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting international stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9638 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Variance | 3.35 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether International Flavors is a strong investment it is important to analyze International Flavors' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact International Flavors' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding International Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of International Flavors to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Specialty Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Flavors. If investors know International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about International Flavors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.346 | Dividend Share 2.01 | Earnings Share (9.07) | Revenue Per Share 44.769 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
The market value of International Flavors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of International Flavors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is International Flavors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because International Flavors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect International Flavors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Flavors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Flavors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Flavors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.