Imagicaaworld Entertainment Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

IMAGICAA   72.87  0.37  0.51%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Imagicaaworld Entertainment Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 71.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.28. Imagicaaworld Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock prices and determine the direction of Imagicaaworld Entertainment Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Imagicaaworld Entertainment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Imagicaaworld Entertainment's Total Stockholder Equity is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Property Plant And Equipment Net is expected to grow to about 8.6 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 10.6 B.
Imagicaaworld Entertainment polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Imagicaaworld Entertainment Limited as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Imagicaaworld Entertainment Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Imagicaaworld Entertainment Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 71.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.59, mean absolute percentage error of 4.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Imagicaaworld Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Imagicaaworld Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Imagicaaworld Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern

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Imagicaaworld Entertainment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Imagicaaworld Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Imagicaaworld Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.14 and 73.85, respectively. We have considered Imagicaaworld Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
72.87
71.49
Expected Value
73.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.5675
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5947
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0205
SAESum of the absolute errors97.2794
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Imagicaaworld Entertainment historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Imagicaaworld Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imagicaaworld Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.5272.8775.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.5882.1384.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
68.5373.7378.93
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Imagicaaworld Entertainment

For every potential investor in Imagicaaworld, whether a beginner or expert, Imagicaaworld Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Imagicaaworld Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Imagicaaworld. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Imagicaaworld Entertainment's price trends.

Imagicaaworld Entertainment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Imagicaaworld Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Imagicaaworld Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Imagicaaworld Entertainment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Imagicaaworld Entertainment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Imagicaaworld Entertainment's current price.

Imagicaaworld Entertainment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Imagicaaworld Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Imagicaaworld Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Imagicaaworld Entertainment Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Imagicaaworld Entertainment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Imagicaaworld Entertainment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Imagicaaworld Entertainment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imagicaaworld stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Imagicaaworld Stock

Imagicaaworld Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Imagicaaworld Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Imagicaaworld with respect to the benefits of owning Imagicaaworld Entertainment security.