Intelicanna Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

INTL Stock   56.00  1.80  3.11%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Intelicanna on the next trading day is expected to be 56.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 189.15. Intelicanna Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Intelicanna stock prices and determine the direction of Intelicanna's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Intelicanna's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Intelicanna is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Intelicanna 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Intelicanna on the next trading day is expected to be 56.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.32, mean absolute percentage error of 21.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 189.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intelicanna Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intelicanna's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Intelicanna Stock Forecast Pattern

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Intelicanna Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Intelicanna's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intelicanna's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.10 and 62.80, respectively. We have considered Intelicanna's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
56.00
56.45
Expected Value
62.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intelicanna stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intelicanna stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.8142
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0579
MADMean absolute deviation3.3184
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0556
SAESum of the absolute errors189.15
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Intelicanna. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Intelicanna and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Intelicanna

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intelicanna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.6556.0062.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.0249.3761.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
46.4760.1273.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Intelicanna

For every potential investor in Intelicanna, whether a beginner or expert, Intelicanna's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intelicanna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intelicanna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intelicanna's price trends.

Intelicanna Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intelicanna stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intelicanna could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intelicanna by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Intelicanna Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intelicanna's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intelicanna's current price.

Intelicanna Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intelicanna stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intelicanna shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intelicanna stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intelicanna entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Intelicanna Risk Indicators

The analysis of Intelicanna's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intelicanna's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intelicanna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Intelicanna Stock

Intelicanna financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intelicanna Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intelicanna with respect to the benefits of owning Intelicanna security.