GMO Internet Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

IQ3 Stock  EUR 16.10  0.10  0.63%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GMO Internet on the next trading day is expected to be 16.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.46. GMO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GMO Internet's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for GMO Internet is based on a synthetically constructed GMO Internetdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

GMO Internet 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GMO Internet on the next trading day is expected to be 16.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GMO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GMO Internet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GMO Internet Stock Forecast Pattern

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GMO Internet Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GMO Internet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GMO Internet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.03 and 18.15, respectively. We have considered GMO Internet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.10
16.59
Expected Value
18.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GMO Internet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GMO Internet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.1734
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3034
MADMean absolute deviation0.4502
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0274
SAESum of the absolute errors18.46
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. GMO Internet 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for GMO Internet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GMO Internet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.5316.1017.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0213.5917.71
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GMO Internet

For every potential investor in GMO, whether a beginner or expert, GMO Internet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GMO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GMO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GMO Internet's price trends.

GMO Internet Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GMO Internet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GMO Internet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GMO Internet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GMO Internet Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GMO Internet's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GMO Internet's current price.

GMO Internet Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GMO Internet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GMO Internet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GMO Internet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GMO Internet entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GMO Internet Risk Indicators

The analysis of GMO Internet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GMO Internet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gmo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in GMO Stock

GMO Internet financial ratios help investors to determine whether GMO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GMO with respect to the benefits of owning GMO Internet security.