Iskenderun Demir Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ISDMR Stock  TRY 38.30  0.16  0.42%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Iskenderun Demir ve on the next trading day is expected to be 38.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.61. Iskenderun Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Iskenderun Demir's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Iskenderun Demir ve is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Iskenderun Demir 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Iskenderun Demir ve on the next trading day is expected to be 38.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Iskenderun Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Iskenderun Demir's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Iskenderun Demir Stock Forecast Pattern

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Iskenderun Demir Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Iskenderun Demir's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Iskenderun Demir's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.35 and 39.67, respectively. We have considered Iskenderun Demir's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.30
38.01
Expected Value
39.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Iskenderun Demir stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Iskenderun Demir stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1624
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.16
MADMean absolute deviation0.6072
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0167
SAESum of the absolute errors34.61
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Iskenderun Demir. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Iskenderun Demir ve and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Iskenderun Demir

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iskenderun Demir. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.6438.3039.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.7337.3939.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
35.9936.8137.63
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Iskenderun Demir

For every potential investor in Iskenderun, whether a beginner or expert, Iskenderun Demir's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Iskenderun Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Iskenderun. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Iskenderun Demir's price trends.

Iskenderun Demir Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Iskenderun Demir stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Iskenderun Demir could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Iskenderun Demir by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Iskenderun Demir Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Iskenderun Demir's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Iskenderun Demir's current price.

Iskenderun Demir Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Iskenderun Demir stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Iskenderun Demir shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Iskenderun Demir stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Iskenderun Demir ve entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Iskenderun Demir Risk Indicators

The analysis of Iskenderun Demir's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Iskenderun Demir's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iskenderun stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Iskenderun Stock

Iskenderun Demir financial ratios help investors to determine whether Iskenderun Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Iskenderun with respect to the benefits of owning Iskenderun Demir security.