Intuitive Surgical Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

IUI1 Stock  EUR 511.50  13.30  2.53%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Intuitive Surgical on the next trading day is expected to be 511.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.30. Intuitive Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Intuitive Surgical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Intuitive Surgical is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Intuitive Surgical Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Intuitive Surgical on the next trading day is expected to be 511.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.01, mean absolute percentage error of 73.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intuitive Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intuitive Surgical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Intuitive Surgical Stock Forecast Pattern

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Intuitive Surgical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Intuitive Surgical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intuitive Surgical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 509.83 and 513.17, respectively. We have considered Intuitive Surgical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
511.50
509.83
Downside
511.50
Expected Value
513.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intuitive Surgical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intuitive Surgical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7266
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.0076
MADMean absolute deviation6.0051
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0126
SAESum of the absolute errors354.3
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Intuitive Surgical price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Intuitive Surgical. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Intuitive Surgical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intuitive Surgical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
509.83511.50513.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
460.35528.71530.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
503.39515.93528.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Intuitive Surgical

For every potential investor in Intuitive, whether a beginner or expert, Intuitive Surgical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intuitive Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intuitive. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intuitive Surgical's price trends.

Intuitive Surgical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intuitive Surgical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intuitive Surgical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intuitive Surgical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Intuitive Surgical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intuitive Surgical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intuitive Surgical's current price.

Intuitive Surgical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intuitive Surgical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intuitive Surgical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intuitive Surgical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intuitive Surgical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Intuitive Surgical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Intuitive Surgical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intuitive Surgical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intuitive stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Intuitive Stock

When determining whether Intuitive Surgical is a strong investment it is important to analyze Intuitive Surgical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Intuitive Surgical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Intuitive Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intuitive Surgical to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Intuitive Stock please use our How to Invest in Intuitive Surgical guide.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Intuitive Surgical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intuitive Surgical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intuitive Surgical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.