Indigo Exploration Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

IXIXF Stock   0.03  0.01  28.44%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Indigo Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Indigo Exploration's stock prices and determine the direction of Indigo Exploration's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Indigo Exploration's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Indigo Exploration is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Indigo Exploration 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Indigo Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000878, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Indigo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Indigo Exploration's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Indigo Exploration Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Indigo Exploration Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Indigo Exploration's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Indigo Exploration's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 12.10, respectively. We have considered Indigo Exploration's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
12.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Indigo Exploration pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Indigo Exploration pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.1162
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -3.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0022
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1064
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1238
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Indigo Exploration. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Indigo Exploration and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Indigo Exploration

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indigo Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Indigo Exploration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Other Forecasting Options for Indigo Exploration

For every potential investor in Indigo, whether a beginner or expert, Indigo Exploration's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Indigo Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Indigo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Indigo Exploration's price trends.

Indigo Exploration Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Indigo Exploration pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Indigo Exploration could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Indigo Exploration by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Indigo Exploration Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Indigo Exploration's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Indigo Exploration's current price.

Indigo Exploration Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Indigo Exploration pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Indigo Exploration shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Indigo Exploration pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Indigo Exploration entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Indigo Exploration Risk Indicators

The analysis of Indigo Exploration's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Indigo Exploration's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting indigo pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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