IZDEMIR Enerji Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IZENR Stock | 4.90 0.12 2.39% |
IZDEMIR |
IZDEMIR Enerji Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IZDEMIR Enerji Elektrik on the next trading day is expected to be 4.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IZDEMIR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IZDEMIR Enerji's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IZDEMIR Enerji Stock Forecast Pattern
IZDEMIR Enerji Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IZDEMIR Enerji's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IZDEMIR Enerji's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.91 and 7.89, respectively. We have considered IZDEMIR Enerji's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IZDEMIR Enerji stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IZDEMIR Enerji stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.3439 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0945 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0201 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.67 |
Predictive Modules for IZDEMIR Enerji
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IZDEMIR Enerji Elektrik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for IZDEMIR Enerji
For every potential investor in IZDEMIR, whether a beginner or expert, IZDEMIR Enerji's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IZDEMIR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IZDEMIR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IZDEMIR Enerji's price trends.IZDEMIR Enerji Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IZDEMIR Enerji stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IZDEMIR Enerji could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IZDEMIR Enerji by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IZDEMIR Enerji Elektrik Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IZDEMIR Enerji's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IZDEMIR Enerji's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IZDEMIR Enerji Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IZDEMIR Enerji stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IZDEMIR Enerji shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IZDEMIR Enerji stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IZDEMIR Enerji Elektrik entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 422879.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.52) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.94 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.11) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) |
IZDEMIR Enerji Risk Indicators
The analysis of IZDEMIR Enerji's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IZDEMIR Enerji's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting izdemir stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Variance | 8.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.