China Finance Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

JRJCY Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Finance Online on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. China Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for China Finance is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of China Finance Online value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

China Finance Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Finance Online on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Finance's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

China Finance Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest China FinanceChina Finance Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

China Finance Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting China Finance's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. China Finance's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered China Finance's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Finance pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Finance pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of China Finance Online. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict China Finance. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for China Finance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Finance Online. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Finance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for China Finance

For every potential investor in China, whether a beginner or expert, China Finance's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. China Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in China. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying China Finance's price trends.

View China Finance Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

China Finance Online Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of China Finance's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of China Finance's current price.

China Finance Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Finance pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Finance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Finance pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Finance Online entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for China Pink Sheet Analysis

When running China Finance's price analysis, check to measure China Finance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Finance is operating at the current time. Most of China Finance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Finance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Finance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Finance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.