KB Financial Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

KB Stock  USD 67.66  1.10  1.60%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KB Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 67.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.23. KB Financial Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast KB Financial stock prices and determine the direction of KB Financial Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KB Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 4.51, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to (1.7 K). . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 5.3 T, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 380.2 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-12-20 KB Financial Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast KB Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in KB Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for KB Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current KB Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to KB Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of KB Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in KB Financial. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Triple exponential smoothing for KB Financial - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When KB Financial prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in KB Financial price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of KB Financial Group.

KB Financial Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KB Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 67.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.33, mean absolute percentage error of 2.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KB Financial Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KB Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KB Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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KB Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KB Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KB Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.54 and 70.38, respectively. We have considered KB Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
67.66
67.96
Expected Value
70.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KB Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KB Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2062
MADMean absolute deviation1.3259
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0203
SAESum of the absolute errors78.2271
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past KB Financial observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older KB Financial Group observations.

Predictive Modules for KB Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KB Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.4668.8871.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.1458.5675.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
65.2967.3569.41
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.5050.0055.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KB Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KB Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KB Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KB Financial Group.

Other Forecasting Options for KB Financial

For every potential investor in KB Financial, whether a beginner or expert, KB Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KB Financial Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KB Financial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KB Financial's price trends.

KB Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KB Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KB Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KB Financial Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KB Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KB Financial's current price.

KB Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KB Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KB Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KB Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KB Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KB Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of KB Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KB Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kb financial stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KB Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KB Financial. If investors know KB Financial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about KB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.185
Earnings Share
8.3
Revenue Per Share
8.9 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.069
Return On Assets
0.006
The market value of KB Financial Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KB Financial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.