Keating Active Etf Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

KEAT Etf   26.59  0.02  0.08%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Keating Active ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 26.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.46. Keating Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Keating Active - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Keating Active prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Keating Active price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Keating Active ETF.

Keating Active Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Keating Active ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 26.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Keating Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Keating Active's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Keating Active Etf Forecast Pattern

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Keating Active Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Keating Active's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Keating Active's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.18 and 26.97, respectively. We have considered Keating Active's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.59
26.57
Expected Value
26.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Keating Active etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Keating Active etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0138
MADMean absolute deviation0.0925
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0035
SAESum of the absolute errors5.4581
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Keating Active observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Keating Active ETF observations.

Predictive Modules for Keating Active

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keating Active ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.1726.5726.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.1926.5926.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.4726.7627.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Keating Active. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Keating Active's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Keating Active's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Keating Active ETF.

Other Forecasting Options for Keating Active

For every potential investor in Keating, whether a beginner or expert, Keating Active's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Keating Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Keating. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Keating Active's price trends.

Keating Active Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Keating Active etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Keating Active could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Keating Active by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Keating Active ETF Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Keating Active's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Keating Active's current price.

Keating Active Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Keating Active etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Keating Active shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Keating Active etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Keating Active ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Keating Active Risk Indicators

The analysis of Keating Active's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Keating Active's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting keating etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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When determining whether Keating Active ETF is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Keating Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Keating Active Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Keating Active Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Keating Active to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
The market value of Keating Active ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Keating that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Keating Active's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Keating Active's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Keating Active's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Keating Active's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Keating Active's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Keating Active is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Keating Active's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.