Korn Ferry Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

KFY Stock  EUR 64.00  0.63  0.97%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Korn Ferry on the next trading day is expected to be 63.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.88. Korn Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Korn Ferry's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Korn Ferry works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Korn Ferry Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Korn Ferry on the next trading day is expected to be 63.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.39, mean absolute percentage error of 3.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Korn Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Korn Ferry's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Korn Ferry Stock Forecast Pattern

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Korn Ferry Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Korn Ferry's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Korn Ferry's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 61.22 and 65.90, respectively. We have considered Korn Ferry's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
64.00
63.56
Expected Value
65.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Korn Ferry stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Korn Ferry stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3107
MADMean absolute deviation1.3878
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0202
SAESum of the absolute errors81.8821
When Korn Ferry prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Korn Ferry trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Korn Ferry observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Korn Ferry

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korn Ferry. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.6664.0066.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.2657.6070.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
61.0368.8976.75
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Korn Ferry

For every potential investor in Korn, whether a beginner or expert, Korn Ferry's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Korn Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Korn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Korn Ferry's price trends.

Korn Ferry Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Korn Ferry stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Korn Ferry could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Korn Ferry by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Korn Ferry Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Korn Ferry's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Korn Ferry's current price.

Korn Ferry Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Korn Ferry stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Korn Ferry shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Korn Ferry stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Korn Ferry entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Korn Ferry Risk Indicators

The analysis of Korn Ferry's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Korn Ferry's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting korn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Korn Stock

When determining whether Korn Ferry offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Korn Ferry's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Korn Ferry Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Korn Ferry Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Korn Ferry to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Korn Stock please use our How to Invest in Korn Ferry guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Korn Ferry's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Korn Ferry is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Korn Ferry's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.