Kensington Hedged Etf Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| KHPI Etf | 25.71 0.05 0.19% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kensington Hedged Premium on the next trading day is expected to be 25.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.73. Kensington Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kensington Hedged's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Kensington |
Kensington Hedged 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kensington Hedged Premium on the next trading day is expected to be 25.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kensington Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kensington Hedged's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kensington Hedged Etf Forecast Pattern
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Kensington Hedged Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kensington Hedged's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kensington Hedged's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.20 and 26.03, respectively. We have considered Kensington Hedged's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kensington Hedged etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kensington Hedged etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 99.8544 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0782 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.127 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.005 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.7312 |
Predictive Modules for Kensington Hedged
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kensington Hedged Premium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Kensington Hedged
For every potential investor in Kensington, whether a beginner or expert, Kensington Hedged's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kensington Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kensington. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kensington Hedged's price trends.Kensington Hedged Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kensington Hedged etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kensington Hedged could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kensington Hedged by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kensington Hedged Premium Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kensington Hedged's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kensington Hedged's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kensington Hedged Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kensington Hedged etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kensington Hedged shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kensington Hedged etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Kensington Hedged Premium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kensington Hedged Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kensington Hedged's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kensington Hedged's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kensington etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2957 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2469 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4155 | |||
| Variance | 0.1726 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2074 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0609 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Kensington Hedged Premium offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Kensington Hedged's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kensington Hedged Premium Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kensington Hedged Premium Etf:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kensington Hedged to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
The market value of Kensington Hedged Premium is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kensington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kensington Hedged's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kensington Hedged's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kensington Hedged's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kensington Hedged's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kensington Hedged's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kensington Hedged is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kensington Hedged's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.