K92 Mining OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KNTNF Stock  USD 6.88  0.07  1.03%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of K92 Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 6.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.36. K92 OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of K92 Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for K92 Mining is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of K92 Mining value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

K92 Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of K92 Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 6.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict K92 OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that K92 Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

K92 Mining OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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K92 Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting K92 Mining's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. K92 Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.66 and 10.12, respectively. We have considered K92 Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.88
6.89
Expected Value
10.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of K92 Mining otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent K92 Mining otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8218
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.167
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0266
SAESum of the absolute errors10.3566
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of K92 Mining. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict K92 Mining. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for K92 Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as K92 Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.656.8810.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.315.548.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for K92 Mining

For every potential investor in K92, whether a beginner or expert, K92 Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. K92 OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in K92. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying K92 Mining's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

K92 Mining Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of K92 Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of K92 Mining's current price.

K92 Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how K92 Mining otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading K92 Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying K92 Mining otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify K92 Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

K92 Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of K92 Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in K92 Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting k92 otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in K92 OTC Stock

K92 Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether K92 OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in K92 with respect to the benefits of owning K92 Mining security.