Galaxy Entertainment Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

KW9A Stock  EUR 4.28  0.02  0.47%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Galaxy Entertainment Group on the next trading day is expected to be 4.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.08. Galaxy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Galaxy Entertainment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Galaxy Entertainment Group is based on a synthetically constructed Galaxy Entertainmentdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Galaxy Entertainment 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Galaxy Entertainment Group on the next trading day is expected to be 4.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Galaxy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Galaxy Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Galaxy Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern

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Galaxy Entertainment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Galaxy Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Galaxy Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.61, respectively. We have considered Galaxy Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.28
4.08
Expected Value
8.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Galaxy Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Galaxy Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria78.9192
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.2214
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0527
SAESum of the absolute errors9.077
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Galaxy Entertainment 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Galaxy Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galaxy Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.214.288.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.204.098.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Galaxy Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Galaxy Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Galaxy Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Galaxy Entertainment.

Other Forecasting Options for Galaxy Entertainment

For every potential investor in Galaxy, whether a beginner or expert, Galaxy Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Galaxy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Galaxy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Galaxy Entertainment's price trends.

Galaxy Entertainment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Galaxy Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Galaxy Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Galaxy Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Galaxy Entertainment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Galaxy Entertainment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Galaxy Entertainment's current price.

Galaxy Entertainment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Galaxy Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Galaxy Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Galaxy Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Galaxy Entertainment Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Galaxy Entertainment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Galaxy Entertainment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Galaxy Entertainment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting galaxy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Galaxy Stock

Galaxy Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Galaxy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Galaxy with respect to the benefits of owning Galaxy Entertainment security.