Lanvin Group Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LANV Stock | 2.16 0.20 10.20% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lanvin Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.64. Lanvin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Lanvin |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Lanvin Group's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 28.1 M | Current Value 50.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 16.9 M |
Lanvin Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lanvin Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lanvin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lanvin Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lanvin Group Stock Forecast Pattern
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Lanvin Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lanvin Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lanvin Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.88, respectively. We have considered Lanvin Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lanvin Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lanvin Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3322 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0748 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0434 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.6398 |
Predictive Modules for Lanvin Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lanvin Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Lanvin Group
For every potential investor in Lanvin, whether a beginner or expert, Lanvin Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lanvin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lanvin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lanvin Group's price trends.Lanvin Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lanvin Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lanvin Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lanvin Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lanvin Group Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lanvin Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lanvin Group's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Lanvin Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lanvin Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lanvin Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lanvin Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lanvin Group Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lanvin Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lanvin Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lanvin Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lanvin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.81 | |||
| Variance | 46.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 41.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 34.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.99) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Lanvin Stock Analysis
When running Lanvin Group's price analysis, check to measure Lanvin Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lanvin Group is operating at the current time. Most of Lanvin Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lanvin Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lanvin Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lanvin Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.