Las Vegas Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

LCR Stock  EUR 51.79  0.20  0.38%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Las Vegas Sands on the next trading day is expected to be 52.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.57. Las Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Las Vegas' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Las Vegas works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Las Vegas Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Las Vegas Sands on the next trading day is expected to be 52.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84, mean absolute percentage error of 1.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Las Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Las Vegas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Las Vegas Stock Forecast Pattern

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Las Vegas Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Las Vegas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Las Vegas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.83 and 54.28, respectively. We have considered Las Vegas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.79
52.05
Expected Value
54.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Las Vegas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Las Vegas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0897
MADMean absolute deviation0.8402
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.018
SAESum of the absolute errors49.5709
When Las Vegas Sands prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Las Vegas Sands trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Las Vegas observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Las Vegas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Las Vegas Sands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.5751.7954.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.6156.7358.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
46.9450.1953.44
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Las Vegas

For every potential investor in Las, whether a beginner or expert, Las Vegas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Las Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Las. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Las Vegas' price trends.

Las Vegas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Las Vegas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Las Vegas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Las Vegas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Las Vegas Sands Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Las Vegas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Las Vegas' current price.

Las Vegas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Las Vegas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Las Vegas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Las Vegas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Las Vegas Sands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Las Vegas Risk Indicators

The analysis of Las Vegas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Las Vegas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting las stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Las Stock

When determining whether Las Vegas Sands is a strong investment it is important to analyze Las Vegas' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Las Vegas' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Las Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Las Vegas to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Please note, there is a significant difference between Las Vegas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Las Vegas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Las Vegas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.