Lam Dong Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

LDP Stock   10,300  500.00  5.10%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lam Dong Pharmaceutical on the next trading day is expected to be 10,227 with a mean absolute deviation of 495.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29,243. Lam Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Lam Dong works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Lam Dong Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lam Dong Pharmaceutical on the next trading day is expected to be 10,227 with a mean absolute deviation of 495.64, mean absolute percentage error of 408,913, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29,243.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lam Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lam Dong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lam Dong Stock Forecast Pattern

Lam Dong Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lam Dong's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lam Dong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10,222 and 10,231, respectively. We have considered Lam Dong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10,300
10,222
Downside
10,227
Expected Value
10,231
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lam Dong stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lam Dong stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -90.9135
MADMean absolute deviation495.6421
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0383
SAESum of the absolute errors29242.8855
When Lam Dong Pharmaceutical prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Lam Dong Pharmaceutical trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Lam Dong observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Lam Dong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lam Dong Pharmaceutical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10,29510,30010,305
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10,13810,14311,330
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lam Dong

For every potential investor in Lam, whether a beginner or expert, Lam Dong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lam Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lam. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lam Dong's price trends.

Lam Dong Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lam Dong stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lam Dong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lam Dong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lam Dong Pharmaceutical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lam Dong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lam Dong's current price.

Lam Dong Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lam Dong stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lam Dong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lam Dong stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lam Dong Pharmaceutical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lam Dong Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lam Dong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lam Dong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lam stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Lam Dong

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Lam Dong position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lam Dong will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Lam Stock

  0.8ADS Damsan JSCPairCorr
  0.7AAA An Phat PlasticPairCorr
  0.89AME Alphanam MEPairCorr
  0.7APG APG Securities JointPairCorr

Moving against Lam Stock

  0.82ELC Elcom Technology ComPairCorr
  0.8BCF Bich Chi FoodPairCorr
  0.76ICT Telecoms Informatics JSCPairCorr
  0.74FPT FPT CorpPairCorr
  0.66SMA Saigon Machinery SparePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Lam Dong could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Lam Dong when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Lam Dong - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Lam Dong Pharmaceutical to buy it.
The correlation of Lam Dong is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Lam Dong moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Lam Dong Pharmaceutical moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Lam Dong can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Lam Stock

Lam Dong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lam with respect to the benefits of owning Lam Dong security.