LIVZON PHARMAC Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

LP6 Stock  EUR 3.26  0.04  1.24%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of LIVZON PHARMAC GRP on the next trading day is expected to be 3.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.33. LIVZON Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LIVZON PHARMAC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for LIVZON PHARMAC GRP is based on a synthetically constructed LIVZON PHARMACdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

LIVZON PHARMAC 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of LIVZON PHARMAC GRP on the next trading day is expected to be 3.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LIVZON Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LIVZON PHARMAC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LIVZON PHARMAC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LIVZON PHARMACLIVZON PHARMAC Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LIVZON PHARMAC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LIVZON PHARMAC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LIVZON PHARMAC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.54 and 5.70, respectively. We have considered LIVZON PHARMAC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.26
3.12
Expected Value
5.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LIVZON PHARMAC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LIVZON PHARMAC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria77.0253
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.032
MADMean absolute deviation0.0812
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0264
SAESum of the absolute errors3.33
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. LIVZON PHARMAC GRP 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for LIVZON PHARMAC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LIVZON PHARMAC GRP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.683.265.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.683.265.84
Details

Other Forecasting Options for LIVZON PHARMAC

For every potential investor in LIVZON, whether a beginner or expert, LIVZON PHARMAC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LIVZON Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LIVZON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LIVZON PHARMAC's price trends.

LIVZON PHARMAC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LIVZON PHARMAC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LIVZON PHARMAC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LIVZON PHARMAC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LIVZON PHARMAC GRP Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LIVZON PHARMAC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LIVZON PHARMAC's current price.

LIVZON PHARMAC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LIVZON PHARMAC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LIVZON PHARMAC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LIVZON PHARMAC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LIVZON PHARMAC GRP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LIVZON PHARMAC Risk Indicators

The analysis of LIVZON PHARMAC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LIVZON PHARMAC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting livzon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in LIVZON Stock

LIVZON PHARMAC financial ratios help investors to determine whether LIVZON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LIVZON with respect to the benefits of owning LIVZON PHARMAC security.