LivePerson Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

LPSN Stock  ILS 311.00  0.90  0.29%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of LivePerson on the next trading day is expected to be 311.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 831.75. LivePerson Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LivePerson stock prices and determine the direction of LivePerson's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LivePerson's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for LivePerson is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

LivePerson Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of LivePerson on the next trading day is expected to be 311.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.10, mean absolute percentage error of 532.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 831.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LivePerson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LivePerson's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LivePerson Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LivePersonLivePerson Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LivePerson Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LivePerson's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LivePerson's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 305.95 and 316.05, respectively. We have considered LivePerson's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
311.00
305.95
Downside
311.00
Expected Value
316.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LivePerson stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LivePerson stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7128
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.7229
MADMean absolute deviation14.0975
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0382
SAESum of the absolute errors831.75
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of LivePerson price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of LivePerson. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for LivePerson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LivePerson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
305.95311.00316.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
286.60291.65342.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for LivePerson

For every potential investor in LivePerson, whether a beginner or expert, LivePerson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LivePerson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LivePerson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LivePerson's price trends.

LivePerson Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LivePerson stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LivePerson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LivePerson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LivePerson Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LivePerson's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LivePerson's current price.

LivePerson Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LivePerson stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LivePerson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LivePerson stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LivePerson entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LivePerson Risk Indicators

The analysis of LivePerson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LivePerson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liveperson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in LivePerson Stock

When determining whether LivePerson offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of LivePerson's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Liveperson Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Liveperson Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LivePerson to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade LivePerson Stock refer to our How to Trade LivePerson Stock guide.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Please note, there is a significant difference between LivePerson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LivePerson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LivePerson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.