Lery Seafood Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

LYSFF Stock  USD 4.61  0.14  2.95%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lery Seafood Group on the next trading day is expected to be 4.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.40. Lery Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lery Seafood's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Lery Seafood is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lery Seafood Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lery Seafood Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lery Seafood Group on the next trading day is expected to be 4.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lery Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lery Seafood's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lery Seafood Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Lery Seafood Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lery Seafood's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lery Seafood's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.84 and 6.32, respectively. We have considered Lery Seafood's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.61
4.58
Expected Value
6.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lery Seafood pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lery Seafood pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8041
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0549
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0125
SAESum of the absolute errors3.4013
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lery Seafood Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lery Seafood. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lery Seafood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lery Seafood Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.874.616.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.814.556.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lery Seafood. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lery Seafood's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lery Seafood's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lery Seafood Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Lery Seafood

For every potential investor in Lery, whether a beginner or expert, Lery Seafood's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lery Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lery. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lery Seafood's price trends.

Lery Seafood Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lery Seafood pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lery Seafood could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lery Seafood by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lery Seafood Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lery Seafood's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lery Seafood's current price.

Lery Seafood Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lery Seafood pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lery Seafood shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lery Seafood pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Lery Seafood Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lery Seafood Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lery Seafood's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lery Seafood's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lery pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Lery Pink Sheet

Lery Seafood financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lery Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lery with respect to the benefits of owning Lery Seafood security.