Mach7 Technologies Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

M7T Stock   0.36  0.01  2.70%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mach7 Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61. Mach7 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Mach7 Technologies' Inventory is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Short Term Debt is likely to gain to about 2.1 M in 2024, whereas Total Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 5.6 M in 2024.
Triple exponential smoothing for Mach7 Technologies - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Mach7 Technologies prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Mach7 Technologies price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Mach7 Technologies.

Mach7 Technologies Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mach7 Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mach7 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mach7 Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mach7 Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mach7 Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mach7 Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mach7 Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.29, respectively. We have considered Mach7 Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.36
0.36
Expected Value
3.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mach7 Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mach7 Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0016
MADMean absolute deviation0.0103
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0231
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6065
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Mach7 Technologies observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Mach7 Technologies observations.

Predictive Modules for Mach7 Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mach7 Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.353.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.343.25
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0089-0.0062-0.0025
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mach7 Technologies

For every potential investor in Mach7, whether a beginner or expert, Mach7 Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mach7 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mach7. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mach7 Technologies' price trends.

Mach7 Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mach7 Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mach7 Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mach7 Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mach7 Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mach7 Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mach7 Technologies' current price.

Mach7 Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mach7 Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mach7 Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mach7 Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mach7 Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mach7 Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mach7 Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mach7 Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mach7 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Mach7 Stock Analysis

When running Mach7 Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Mach7 Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mach7 Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Mach7 Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mach7 Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mach7 Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mach7 Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.