Marka Yatirim Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

MARKA Stock  TRY 60.20  3.50  6.17%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Marka Yatirim Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 60.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 140.29. Marka Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Marka Yatirim's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Marka Yatirim - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Marka Yatirim prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Marka Yatirim price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Marka Yatirim Holding.

Marka Yatirim Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Marka Yatirim Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 60.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.34, mean absolute percentage error of 7.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 140.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marka Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marka Yatirim's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Marka Yatirim Stock Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Sep 27Oct 7Oct 15Oct 23Nov 1Nov 11Nov 19Nov 27Dec 5Dec 13455055606570
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Marka Yatirim Holding Marka Yatirim Holding forecast
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Marka Yatirim Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Marka Yatirim's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marka Yatirim's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 55.85 and 65.45, respectively. We have considered Marka Yatirim's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
60.20
60.65
Expected Value
65.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marka Yatirim stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marka Yatirim stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3708
MADMean absolute deviation2.3382
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0407
SAESum of the absolute errors140.29
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Marka Yatirim observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Marka Yatirim Holding observations.

Predictive Modules for Marka Yatirim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marka Yatirim Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.4060.2065.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.3449.1466.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.3060.0869.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Marka Yatirim. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Marka Yatirim's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Marka Yatirim's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Marka Yatirim Holding.

Other Forecasting Options for Marka Yatirim

For every potential investor in Marka, whether a beginner or expert, Marka Yatirim's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marka Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marka. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marka Yatirim's price trends.

Marka Yatirim Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marka Yatirim stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marka Yatirim could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marka Yatirim by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Marka Yatirim Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Marka Yatirim's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Marka Yatirim's current price.

Marka Yatirim Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marka Yatirim stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marka Yatirim shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marka Yatirim stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marka Yatirim Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Marka Yatirim Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marka Yatirim's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marka Yatirim's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marka stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Marka Stock

Marka Yatirim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marka with respect to the benefits of owning Marka Yatirim security.