Masimo Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MASI Stock  USD 172.54  1.65  0.97%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Masimo on the next trading day is expected to be 167.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 165.82. Masimo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Masimo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Masimo's Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 52.5 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 134.2 M.

Masimo Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Masimo's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2005-12-31
Previous Quarter
132.4 M
Current Value
158.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
198.1 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Masimo is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Masimo value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Masimo Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Masimo on the next trading day is expected to be 167.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.72, mean absolute percentage error of 14.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 165.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Masimo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Masimo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Masimo Stock Forecast Pattern

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Masimo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Masimo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Masimo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 165.46 and 170.27, respectively. We have considered Masimo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
172.54
165.46
Downside
167.86
Expected Value
170.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Masimo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Masimo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7513
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.7184
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0188
SAESum of the absolute errors165.8228
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Masimo. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Masimo. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Masimo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Masimo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Masimo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
170.51172.91175.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
156.51158.91189.79
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
118.87130.63145.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.001.011.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Masimo

For every potential investor in Masimo, whether a beginner or expert, Masimo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Masimo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Masimo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Masimo's price trends.

Masimo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Masimo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Masimo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Masimo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Masimo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Masimo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Masimo's current price.

Masimo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Masimo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Masimo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Masimo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Masimo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Masimo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Masimo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Masimo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting masimo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Masimo offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Masimo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Masimo Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Masimo Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Masimo to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Masimo Stock please use our How to Invest in Masimo guide.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Masimo. If investors know Masimo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Masimo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Earnings Share
1.45
Revenue Per Share
38.467
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.054
Return On Assets
0.0266
The market value of Masimo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Masimo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Masimo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Masimo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Masimo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Masimo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Masimo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Masimo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Masimo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.